Tadej Pogačar, the Slovenian cycling sensation, has conquered numerous prestigious races, but one victory has eluded him: Milano-Sanremo. As the 2025 edition approaches, scheduled for Saturday, March 22, the cycling world is abuzz with speculation: Will this be the year Pogačar finally adds the Classicissima to his impressive palmarès?
The Enigma of Milano-Sanremo
Milano-Sanremo, affectionately known as La Classicissima, is the longest one-day race in professional cycling, covering a grueling 289 kilometers. Its unique challenge lies not in punishing climbs or treacherous cobblestones but in its sheer length and the tactical nuances required to navigate its finale. The race’s outcome often hinges on two pivotal climbs in the final kilometers: the Cipressa and the Poggio.
The Cipressa: A Decisive Battleground
Introduced into the race in 1982, the Cipressa climb stretches over 5.6 kilometers with an average gradient of 4.1%. While not the most daunting ascent on paper, its placement after over 260 kilometers of racing makes it a critical point where contenders can launch decisive moves. Historically, attempts to break away on the Cipressa have been rare, with the last successful attack occurring in 1996 when Gabriele Colombo seized victory.
Pogačar’s Previous Attempts
In his previous Milano-Sanremo participations, Pogačar showcased aggressive tactics, particularly on the Poggio, the final climb before the descent into Sanremo. Despite his efforts, he was unable to break free from the peloton, leading to sprint finishes where he was outpaced by faster riders.
A New Strategy for 2025
For the 2025 edition, Pogačar and his UAE Team Emirates squad are reportedly considering a bold strategy: attacking on the Cipressa. The plan involves ascending the Cipressa in under nine minutes, a feat that would require an average speed exceeding 37 km/h. The current record for the Cipressa climb stands at 9 minutes and 23 seconds.
The Rationale Behind the Cipressa Attack
The logic behind this audacious plan is to exploit Pogačar’s climbing prowess and create a selection early, distancing pure sprinters who might struggle with the high pace on the ascent. By doing so, Pogačar aims to reduce the number of competitors in the final kilometers, increasing his chances in a reduced sprint or a solo finish.
Challenges of the Cipressa Strategy
While the strategy is innovative, it comes with significant risks. The descent following the Cipressa is technical, and maintaining a gap requires flawless bike handling. Additionally, the 10 kilometers of flat terrain between the Cipressa and the Poggio offer opportunities for organized chase groups to reel in breakaway riders. Executing this plan would demand not only Pogačar’s exceptional form but also unwavering support from his teammates to disrupt chase efforts.
The Poggio: Traditional Launchpad
Traditionally, the Poggio, a 3.6-kilometer climb averaging 3.7% gradient, has been the launchpad for race-winning moves. Its summit lies just 5.5 kilometers from the finish, making it an ideal point for explosive climbers to attack. However, the predictability of this tactic means rivals are vigilant, often neutralizing attacks before the descent into Sanremo.
Pogačar’s Form Leading into the Race
Pogačar’s early-season form has been impressive. He secured a commanding victory at the Strade Bianche and performed strongly at the UAE Tour. These performances indicate that he is in peak condition, bolstering confidence in his ability to execute unconventional strategies at Milano-Sanremo.
Team Dynamics and Support
A successful Cipressa attack would necessitate cohesive team dynamics. UAE Team Emirates would need to control the peloton leading into the climb, set a punishing pace to deter counterattacks, and have riders positioned to disrupt any organized chase on the flat sections following the descent. The team’s depth and commitment will be crucial in this endeavor.
Rival Contenders
Pogačar’s rivals are not to be underestimated. Riders like Mathieu van der Poel, Wout van Aert, and Julian Alaphilippe possess the versatility to respond to early attacks and have strong finishing kicks. Their teams will be vigilant, ready to neutralize any moves that threaten their own race plans.
Historical Precedents
Attacking on the Cipressa is reminiscent of moves by legends like Marco Pantani, who attempted a similar tactic in 1999. While Pantani’s move was ultimately unsuccessful, it added an element of unpredictability to the race. Pogačar’s potential Cipressa attack could similarly animate the 2025 edition, forcing rivals to adapt on the fly.
Fan and Analyst Perspectives
Cycling enthusiasts and analysts are divided on the viability of the Cipressa strategy. Some view it as a refreshing approach that could break the monotony of predictable finales, while others caution that the risks may outweigh the rewards. Regardless, the mere possibility of such a move has heightened anticipation for the race.
Milano-Sanremo’s allure lies in its unpredictability, where tactics, endurance, and a touch of audacity converge to crown the victor. Tadej Pogačar’s contemplation of a Cipressa attack adds an intriguing narrative to the 2025 edition. Whether this strategy leads him to triumph or plays into the hands of his rivals remains to be seen. One certainty is that fans worldwide will be eagerly watching as the drama unfolds on March 22.
