Jonas Vingegaard has proven himself as a formidable competitor, and as he gears up for the 2025 Tour de France, there are compelling reasons to believe he can dethrone Tadej Pogacar. Here are three key factors that could tilt the scales in Vingegaard’s favor.

1. Recovery and Preparation

Vingegaard’s performance in 2024 was hampered by a severe injury from a crash in the Itzulia Basque Country, which left him less than fully prepared for the Tour. Despite this setback, he managed to finish second to Pogacar, demonstrating resilience and potential for improvement[1][4]. With ample time to recover and train for the 2025 season, Vingegaard is likely to come back stronger and more focused.

2. Strategic Calendar Management

While Pogacar aims for a busy schedule that includes prestigious one-day races like Milan-San Remo and the Ardennes classics, Vingegaard is reportedly concentrating solely on the Grand Tours. This focused approach could allow him to peak specifically for the Tour de France, giving him an edge over Pogacar, who will be juggling multiple objectives[2][4]. 

3.Time Trial Dominance

Vingegaard’s time trial capabilities have shown remarkable promise, particularly during the Combloux time trial at the 2023 Tour where he delivered a performance reminiscent of cycling legends like Miguel Induráin[4]. If Vingegaard can maintain or improve this level of performance in flat time trials, it could provide him with crucial seconds against Pogacar in the overall standings.

As both riders prepare for what promises to be an exhilarating showdown in 2025, Vingegaard’s recovery, strategic focus, and time trial prowess may well position him as a serious contender to reclaim the yellow jersey.